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The ETF trading results will vary from week to week. Our goal is to have at a maximum at 2.5% loss and we have hit several trades which have been over 10% in just a few days. The key to trading these ETFs is to take profits and you’ll receive alerts throughout the day for guidance.
The nightly reports will come to you laying out the next days trades. A sample of the nightly report is below. We have had much success trading JNUG and JDST. This style of trading may seem complicated to some without understanding what the colors mean, but it’s actually not once you read the Trading Rules.
What we eventually want out of these nightly reports is to have the trends develop to where all ETFs in a particular direction are trading green on the weekly and the monthly and our only decision then is when to take profit. The longer they stay green though, the more we start looking to trade the other side as eventually the trend changes and we start looking at the other side of the ETF.
REPORT FROM 5/17/2017
Current Positions and Today’s Trades (One’s highlighted in yellow we are still long)
Great day. Not much to say but I do go into good details below so make sure you read everything tonight. Thanks for all the great feedback today.
Philly Fed and Initial Jobless Claims tomorrow. Nat Gas Storage at 10:30. ECB President Draghi speaking and one Fed member in the afternoon. God help the market if we get bad data.
It is more and more difficult for me to go against the new green weekly’s as I know they can be very powerful. But today I did just because I thought I saw some weakness. It seemed like all day the market wanted to move lower and for that matter gold higher but there were forces at work that wouldn’t let those two things happen. What those forces are I couldn’t tell you, but the fact is the dollar is heading lower and now it looks like the USD/JPY is heading lower also. This should hurt the market and help metals. Also, UVXY may take over for the daily trade instead of SVXY, but let’s not jump the gun here.
I did ignore the Foreign markets today as there are no green weekly’s and I didn’t see any pop up over 3%. We should keep an eye on BZQ, YANG (YINN just turned red on weekly) and RUSS though. All 3 should follow the U.S. lower. And also, I think YANG is overdue for a bigger pop.
TMF is back to a buy I think. The more we tank the more money will run to treasuries. Lots of it.
Switching gears to UGAZ now from DGAZ. Keep an eye on it tomorrow. No trades till after the storage data tomorrow please.
Oil data came in worse than expected from what I saw but UWT shot up higher. Glad it was’t the only thing we were watching today or it might have got us into trouble. We might have to lean towards DWT at this point but let the market price tell us tomorrow what to do.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
Yesterday I said; “Still need some weakness in the overall markets and if we get that gold should have a good ride up for us.” We got what we wanted today and profited. Now we need to catch our breath I think. I don’t like putting trades on the last 1.5 hours of the day and I didn’t want to get whipsawed out with another trade in JNUG. Gold and silver had pulled back but I did see that the USD/JPY started to fall again and JNUG/NUGT moved up. I do think we will be at lower lows in the next 48 hours so please be careful on longs here. From an insider perspective, no, the phone wasn’t ringing off the hook today for my gold sales business. Far from it. Many investors are still in the buy the dip mode but we haven’t had this big of a market smack down since September of 2016. That speaks volumes to me of how overpriced this market is and how if everyone wants out, the market can fall quickly. Is a 1987 type of event around the corner? We’ll have to wait for China to show some real weakness but we should be leery of such. Haven’t heard the term “circuit breakers” in a long time, but think we will sometime this year.
Hot Corner (the biggest movers – 3% or more – or new ETFs that are green on the weekly – those in bold are consecutive days in the Hot Corner):
UVXY, SOXS, LABD, TZA, SQQQ, FAZ, BZQ, JNUG, UGLD, SDOW, TMF, NUGT, RUSS, YANG, DRIP, (New green weekly’s for TZA, FAZ and SDOW).
Yesterday I said “Keep an eye on SOXS tomorrow if SOXL opens lower.” I hope you did as it was up 12.65% today.
Cold Corner (the biggest moved lower 3% or more that are green on the weekly and or weekly/monthly or turned red on the weekly – those in bold are consecutive days in the Cold Corner):
SVXY, SOXL, BRZU. LABU, TNA, TQQQ, FAS, JDST, DGLD, RUSL, UDOW, DUST, TMV, YINN, GUSH (TQQQ – finally, UDOW, SVXY and YINN turned red on the weekly today.
These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and the dates they turned green. This is used for tracking your percentage gains so you know when to take profit for each ETF per the Trading Rules profit taking guidelines. It is also used for tracking the percentage from high to keep a stop on remaining shares. These green weekly’s work as you can see from the %Gain/Loss tables. You won’t get the exact high with your trade but you will also be out before typically well before they start to fall again. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend and take profit while using a trailing stop on remaining shares. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.
I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners. The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list (the one’s at the top of the list by Entry Date) the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. You’ll notice in the last column on the right it says “Current percentage from high.” This is your normal stop out for any ETF where I don’t specifically call it per the Trading Rules which lists the trailing stops for each ETF. It is a Trailing Stop percentage from the high and I have noticed the pattern that the closer it gets to 5% the sooner the ETF turns red on the weekly.
Doug provides a very strong service and I would highly recommend it for the niche that it is designed to fill. He is very much on top of the changes in these fast moving ETF's and is very quick to respond to client questions. A winner on all counts!
I learned about Doug's service through a fellow investor. I have achieved exceptional results from following his Trading Rules and ETF recommendations. Most of my trades have been within one day, although a few have carried over into two or more days of trading. Most of my trades have been less than $20,000, but none have exceeded $30,000 in total funds traded at any one time. During that time, I have earned almost $23,000 net of commissions and stop losses. Most of that has been in the last couple of months. The first few months I was more conservative as I was still learning to follow Doug’s rules. I have had a few losses from setting stop losses and having them executed, but that is part of minimizing losses. I have learned that if I study, learn and follow Doug's Trading Rules and his daily Trading Analysis recommendations, I can achieve outstanding returns and minimize losses. I highly recommend this service.
Doug provides expert analysis in this irrational market. Doug helps his clients capitalize on trends while also reducing risk. His wit and sense of humor also help make this service fun for me. I'm not betting the farm on the ETF service but am enjoying it and I'm improving at it. The trading rules are requiring me to change a number of bad behaviors I've had in investing and old habits do die hard, but the more I follow them, the greater my success is. This is a great service for anyone that has the self discipline to follow Doug's rules. My recommendation is to follow a few pairs of contrasting ETFs (e.g., DWTI?UWTI, DGAZ/UGAZ, JNUG/JDST) and get good at these. Find some pairs you like and their success can lead to broadening the ones you want should you choose to.
This service assumes the subscriber possesses a certain knowledge of trading mechanics and financial markets, as well as emotional control. Given these, the subscriber can make consistent, large profits regardless of whether the market is up or down by following Doug’s trading rules and making the swing trades he recommends. He provides astute analysis of the markets from both a micro and macro point of view. Bottom line: Highly recommended, but you must follow his trading rules and pay close attention to his daily comments.
When I first joined (at the end of this week, I will be in his service for two months), my goal was to make a modest $800 to $1,000 each month. My hope was to make the $1,000 and come out of the year ahead by $12,000. With still one week to go to complete my first two months, I have profited more than $3,263. I have exceeded my highest hopes. The amount of money I have invested in any ETF trade varies. The most I invested was $34,000, but most trades have been from $22,000 to as little as $6,000. Doug's service covers more than 40 ETFs. I highly recommend that people check out the service that Doug provides, especially if you are interested in making money whether the market is going up or down. Raul G
I'm lovin the new service. Excellent communication, information and trade alerts. With your guidance I am hopeful to stay far away from the losers camp where I came from. So far so good. I really like your style and integrity.
My first trade with your service, I locked in JDST at 15% profit in less than 2 days! I was comfortable with that to get a win under my belt, although it may run further.
Most of my research and interest in the past has been in gold and silver, which is what led me to your ETF service and why I have mostly traded NUGT/DUST, but been reading the details you outlined on the UWTI call you made and it was phenomenal. Going to broaden my scope outside of precious metals and start paying attention to all of the other sectors you are also covering in your ETF service.Very happy I signed up for your service.
Something i would like to share with you: i took $20,000, concentrated on JNUG only. In and out with your signals- i have your service since 10/6 (wrote this 8 days later), I made $5500. Incredibly pleased.
I've only taken three positions: JNUG, NUGT, and TBT. After being stopped out and re-entering, I'm up almost $4K. For that gain, I paid $275.