ETF Trading Research 3/5/2018

ANNOUNCEMENT; The updated for 2018 version of Buy Gold and Silver Safely is available on Amazon.com. In it I provide an updated view on the economy and where we are headed, along with fresh data and analysis on the gold market. I think you’ll appreciate it and get a better understanding of why and how gold fits into a diversified portfolio. Feel free to post this link to social media or send by email to others. You’ll be doing them and you a good service as the more who know about what’s going on, the more who will discover precious metals investing and drive prices for us higher in the long run.

Go to this link: http://buygoldandsilversafely.com/the-book-buy-gold-and-silver-safely-2018-update-announcement/

Also, if you do purchase it, please be so kind to leave a review. It would be greatly appreciated. Thank you in advance.

Today’s Trades and Current Positions (highlighted in yellow):

With today being Monday, I do like to start off the week with some good trades. There wasn’t much to offer us today outside of TQQQ. I’m sure some of you were even surprised I was bullish too. But it won’t last long. Perhaps we get through tomorrow with a bullish trade but by Wednesday we begin the decent that will take us to some big gains I think on TVIX, DWT, DRIP, and SQQQ and smaller gains in TMF.

Meanwhile, we’ll keep playing JDST and JNUG the same till we get our 1/5 last purchase of shares lower in JNUG. JDST might have got you about 1.5% at the top today, but I am primarily using it as a hedge for bigger gains than that to take off 1/2 and today we just didn’t get to that goal and stopped out flat. Dollar was up a hair today and so was JNUG but not by much.

DRIP 3 days on the cold corner so one to keep an eye on tomorrow. TVIX 2 days. Would love one more to go “all in” with it without hesitation.

 

 

 

 

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

Three Fed members speaking tomorrow. Might give the market more of a boost with their nonsense about 4 interest rate hikes.

 

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI came in positive and I hesitated at first to get the quick market maker move out of the day lower, and we got long TQQQ for a good ride. Will more than likely move up a bit more tomorrow. Might be a good scalp in the morning, especially if lower for some reason. Unless that reason is news related. If no news, then it’s just market makers tricking investors.
Foreign Markets
No call here as no real trend, but YANG is green on the weekly still. .
Interest Rates
TMV a new green weekly but do not trust it after tomorrow. TMF should take off over 18 again.
Energy
Yesterday I said that “DWT might have a hair lower then a big move up. DRIP will tag along and maybe lead. Any further weakness in DRIP I am liking it.” We got it and may get long tomorrow on further weakness. We do have some data after hours and the following day storage data, so always risk of whipsaw here. But we are due for a pullback either way if the dollar moves up over 90 and to 91, so keep an eye on the dollar.
DGAZ got over that 29 mark today that we were looking for Friday, but couldn’t stay there. Still too volatile here up and down and sentiment not helping us, so looking elsewhere for better clues.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
JNUG doing ok isn’t it? Even with the dollar up a hair. Mostly though because markets were up. If we get the market turn down by Wednesday, expect the miners to get hit also and we get our final shares. We will still hedge with JDST but get more than we could have today.
Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and show a trend has developed. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend each day and take profit while using a trailing stops. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. This will be tracked more when we automate the service.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit!

Wait for the sign of a positive day to go long anything beaten down, I think the odds swing to your favor.

New way to trade beaten down ETFs; The way that trade would work, and I really think it should be a rule from now on NOT to trade anything trending down until it reverses, is we would buy at the open if it is POSITIVE or GOES POSITIVE during the day. Then we would look to profit on 1/2 shares over and over, day after day until we get the red weekly signal on the opposite trade that could turn into bigger profits. The stop would be if it goes negative for the day. The rule of keeping a stop if it goes negative for the day is a must. Lastly for this type of trading we need to not be afraid to get back in if it goes positive once again. Sometimes market makers will take an ETF negative and then reverse it right higher again because they know if it goes negative many exit. So we have to be willing to risk a few in and outs when it does this up and down move around that potential stop out area so we don’t miss the ride back up. That’s just part of trading and not a big deal. But no matter what, if it breaks to yet another lower low because you didn’t get out after giving it a little more wiggle room, you are more than likely further from the original stop out when it went negative and you are out, waiting for it to go positive again before you get back in. You are simply buying into strength.

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

 

 
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