ETF Trading Research 1/16/2018

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

 

Today’s Trades and Current Positions (highlighted in yellow):

We started the day on a good note and took some quick profit from DGAZ of 7.69% and 9.01%. We then tried 3 more trades in DGAZ in buying the dip for scalps and got 2.08%, -1.52%, and 0.91%. We lost on a JDST trade but diw quite well on UVXY trades that we had been in and made up for some past trades where I said the risk vs reward for a big pop has been with UVXY. This despite the move up in the market on Friday and today. We locked in profit of 5.05% and 3.06% and still in shares depending on your entry of old or new with 11.94% and 2.96%. All in all, a great day and we did well not to give any back. We also saw rebounds in DWT and DRIP and look to see those now turn into big profits. Meanwhile, Bitcoin holders had a bad day, losing -20%.

 

 

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

Minor data tomorrow, but lots of Fed members speaking. Also, a warning that Chinese GDP comes out overnight tomorrow for YANG holders. It is expected to come in at 6.7%. Also their Industrial Production that can hurt or help YANG. If positive tomorrow, it may make sense to sell before the data and reduce risk and forgo any reward.

 

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
Yesterday I said; “All I can say about the markets is they have gone up the last week with data that doesn’t justify it. UVXY knows this. The market hasn’t woken up to it yet.” Today we found out this to be the case. The question now is; was Dow 26,000 the top?
Foreign Markets
  RUSS could be ready for a nice move higher and I would buy tomorrow if positive. Will try and make official call if we get a red weekly in RUSL.
Interest Rates
TMV red on the weekly here. TMF I find it hard to think it would move up with the market falling back like it did though. Neutral here.
Energy
Oil may have finally turned. DWT and DRIP had good days but we need to get over the hump here. Waiting on UWT and GUSH to go red on the weekly for the real move.
3.06 I said last night is the downside target for nat gas and we hit it and just below. We want to get under 3.00 to start looking long UGAZ if we can. I decided not to take the risk overnight though after such a good day in nat gas for us.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
Once I saw that 3 out of the 4 things I watch weren’t working for JDST, I decided to concentrate elsewhere today. JNUG kept moving higher showing the power of the green weekly. NUGT actually turned green on the monthly now.
Tuesday Afternoon Price
Friday Night Price
Thursday Afternoon Price
Wednesday Afternoon Price
 Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and the dates they turned green. This is used for tracking your percentage gains so you know when to take profit for each ETF per the Trading Rules profit taking guidelines. These green weekly’s work as you can see from the %Gain/Loss tables. You won’t get the exact high with your trade but you will also be out typically well before they start to fall again or turn red on the weekly. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend and take profit while using a trailing stop on remaining shares. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list (the one’s at the top of the list by Entry Date) the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit! 

 

 

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