ETF Trading Research 2/8/2018

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

 

Today’s Trades and Current Positions (highlighted in yellow):

Kept the trading light but profitable today, on a day I called a professionals day from the beginning. But it did turn into a nightmare for many overall. JNUG turned out well for us.

I’m going to be concentrating on a few areas below for some turns that are coming.

 

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

No Fed members speaking tomorrow on a light day for data.

 

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
Another 1000 point drop on Wall St. for the Dow. But as you can see, we are on the cusp of a turn. Sentiment however can get down to 4 which was the bottom area in sentiment a couple times before we hit under 10. Another day or two of selling would do it. Then I would be all in the markets.
 
Foreign Markets
YANG and RUSS have been doing well and even BZQ of late. Green weekly’s for now.
Interest Rates
TMV might have just a couple days left, if that.
Energy
DWT and DRIP are about done and UWT and GUSH should bounce here soon.
Just a little bit more to go for DGAZ and we’ll jump on UGAZ for a nice ride.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
Yesterday I said we may get a bounce from the 1300-1309 level and we did from 1306 and caught the nice ride up in JNUG. Tomorrow we should at some point look to gold lower if the dollar is positive. That means back to JDST for a bit. Gold and silver still have a ways to go lower.
Thursday Night Price
Wednesday Afternoon Price
Tuesday Afternoon Price
Monday Night Price
Friday Night Price
Cryptocurrency
Unlike Monday, Cryptos held up well today.
 Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and show a trend has developed. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend each day and take profit while using a trailing stops. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. This will be tracked more when we automate the service.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit!

Wait for the sign of a positive day to go long anything beaten down, I think the odds swing to your favor.

New way to trade beaten down ETFs; The way that trade would work, and I really think it should be a rule from now on NOT to trade anything trending down until it reverses, is we would buy at the open if it is POSITIVE or GOES POSITIVE during the day. Then we would look to profit on 1/2 shares over and over, day after day until we get the red weekly signal on the opposite trade that could turn into bigger profits. The stop would be if it goes negative for the day. The rule of keeping a stop if it goes negative for the day is a must. Lastly for this type of trading we need to not be afraid to get back in if it goes positive once again. Sometimes market makers will take an ETF negative and then reverse it right higher again because they know if it goes negative many exit. So we have to be willing to risk a few in and outs when it does this up and down move around that potential stop out area so we don’t miss the ride back up. That’s just part of trading and not a big deal. But no matter what, if it breaks to yet another lower low because you didn’t get out after giving it a little more wiggle room, you are more than likely further from the original stop out when it went negative and you are out, waiting for it to go positive again before you get back in. You are simply buying into strength.

 

 
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