ETF Trading Research 3/19/2018

ANNOUNCEMENT; The updated for 2018 version of Buy Gold and Silver Safely is available on Amazon.com. In it I provide an updated view on the economy and where we are headed, along with fresh data and analysis on the gold market. I think you’ll appreciate it and get a better understanding of why and how gold fits into a diversified portfolio. Feel free to post this link to social media or send by email to others. You’ll be doing them and you a good service as the more who know about what’s going on, the more who will discover precious metals investing and drive prices for us higher in the long run.

Go to this link: http://buygoldandsilversafely.com/the-book-buy-gold-and-silver-safely-2018-update-announcement/

Also, if you do purchase it, please be so kind to leave a review. It would be greatly appreciated. Thank you in advance.

Today’s Trades and Current Positions (highlighted in yellow):

If there is one thing I hate, it’s missing out on a trade, which I did with TVIX today. It started with my mindset we would bounce higher and then fall. I couldn’t get out of that mindset for whatever reason and tried a trade where I thought we would get the reversal and got stopped out, but the mindset end of day won out and overall we did profit today, but just upset that we didn’t get the easy money in TVIX. Especially since I had concentrated on it so much the last month. The good news is, we should profit ok in SVXY and TVIX into Wednesday and if we do get to 2800 in /ES, will have another shot at TVIX. I won’t miss that one. I did say that those who were stuck in it in the past, and no one stepped up to say they were still long, but you might be out there, you had a chance to get out over 8 today. We did end up under 8 again after hours. Ideally I would like to somehow test the lows one more time. And then we will use that strategy of buying 1/2 shares. Perhaps we should have started that on Friday. I have no fear trading TVIX either, just read the start of Fed week wrong. Anytime I read something wrong and overall don’t lose money, I’m not complaining too much, but if I just woke up on the negative market side of the bed, could have done great today.

 

 

 

 

 

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

Not much data again tomorrow.

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
We should move up in a completely opposite move of today into tomorrow on a typical Fed week of volatility. By next week we will look for TVIX again, if not end of this week. Like to see 2800 /ES as a target for longs overall.
Foreign Markets
In last nights report I said; “They are setting up for a big move in YANG, RUSS and BZQ this week though.” Today we got a good move and BZQ and YANG have joined RUSS on the green weekly. However, they will follow the market higher tomorrow into Wednesday, so I would be careful with shorts.
Interest Rates
I see TMV had moved up and 2.90% on the 10 year is a target here for trouble for the rest of the market. We’re at 2.855 no so a little move up in TMV still to come.
Energy
Oil was basically flat by end of day. It is still moving with the market so expect it to be up tomorrow.
We locked in decent profit from the DGAZ trade. Should get a move up in nat gas for a day and then get long DGAZ again. Ideally.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
Dollar was down -.33 today and weak. I expect a reversal tomorrow and JNUG to keep falling. JDST can come into play again tomorrow.
Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and show a trend has developed. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend each day and take profit while using a trailing stops. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. This will be tracked more when we automate the service.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit!

Wait for the sign of a positive day to go long anything beaten down, I think the odds swing to your favor.

New way to trade beaten down ETFs; The way that trade would work, and I really think it should be a rule from now on NOT to trade anything trending down until it reverses, is we would buy at the open if it is POSITIVE or GOES POSITIVE during the day. Then we would look to profit on 1/2 shares over and over, day after day until we get the red weekly signal on the opposite trade that could turn into bigger profits. The stop would be if it goes negative for the day. The rule of keeping a stop if it goes negative for the day is a must. Lastly for this type of trading we need to not be afraid to get back in if it goes positive once again. Sometimes market makers will take an ETF negative and then reverse it right higher again because they know if it goes negative many exit. So we have to be willing to risk a few in and outs when it does this up and down move around that potential stop out area so we don’t miss the ride back up. That’s just part of trading and not a big deal. But no matter what, if it breaks to yet another lower low because you didn’t get out after giving it a little more wiggle room, you are more than likely further from the original stop out when it went negative and you are out, waiting for it to go positive again before you get back in. You are simply buying into strength.

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

 

 
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