ETF Trading Research 3/18/2018

ANNOUNCEMENT; The updated for 2018 version of Buy Gold and Silver Safely is available on Amazon.com. In it I provide an updated view on the economy and where we are headed, along with fresh data and analysis on the gold market. I think you’ll appreciate it and get a better understanding of why and how gold fits into a diversified portfolio. Feel free to post this link to social media or send by email to others. You’ll be doing them and you a good service as the more who know about what’s going on, the more who will discover precious metals investing and drive prices for us higher in the long run.

Go to this link: http://buygoldandsilversafely.com/the-book-buy-gold-and-silver-safely-2018-update-announcement/

Also, if you do purchase it, please be so kind to leave a review. It would be greatly appreciated. Thank you in advance.

Today’s Trades and Current Positions (highlighted in yellow):

 

We got some good trades out of JDST and TMV as we wait for our next targets for JNUG to hit. My goal with JNUG, for new subscribers, is to get it lower and be all in for a run of 50% or more that I think is coming. In the meantime, we’ll hedge that trade with some scalps in JDST. The question may come up, why not just wait and buy JNUG? The answer is, because I couldn’t tell you for sure how long it will be before gold takes off higher. We already chickened out in JNUG remember, and sold around 14.50 for a 10% profit. Now we are happy to buy low again and ride it much higher this time, not taking 10% but much more from it.

I may do the same type of trade for TVIX and SQQQ this week too, but with 1/2 shares. TMV I think we will probably get long on Monday again too.

 

 

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

No data tomorrow and one Fed member speaking. It’s Fed week and expect volatility.

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
Futures are opening lower but we should get a little move up this week before the rug is finally pulled. Been 2 weeks of market trying to move higher, but President Trump doing his best to keep it mixed with many let go. But it should be one more move up in rates that sticks a fork in this market for now. Not a crash mind you, but a definite pullback. The fork has already been stuck in housing.  Heck, even Warren Buffet is out saying the market can call 50%.
We may test the resistance in the S&P at 2815 and then fall. We’ll look to get long TVIX and SQQQ there if we can. Ideally that’s our target and won’t know if it will be pre or post Fed.
Foreign Markets
These ETFs are mostly moving with the market. They are setting up for a big move in YANG, RUSS and BZQ this week though.
Interest Rates
In TMV for a bit.
Energy
Oil should move up with the market to start the week and then we get long DWT and DRIP.
Nat gas down -1.6 cents right now. Like to see it continue by Monday morning. 2.72 nat gas price stop for DGAZ. 2.50 goal.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
JDST I almost made it a Swing Trade on Friday. That’s how strongly I felt about it. But I have learned to go home flat more on weekends and have not regretted that. Still like it here to get gold to $1,300 and possibly lower. Will be loving to get long JNUG the remaining shares lower.
Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and show a trend has developed. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend each day and take profit while using a trailing stops. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. This will be tracked more when we automate the service.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit!

Wait for the sign of a positive day to go long anything beaten down, I think the odds swing to your favor.

New way to trade beaten down ETFs; The way that trade would work, and I really think it should be a rule from now on NOT to trade anything trending down until it reverses, is we would buy at the open if it is POSITIVE or GOES POSITIVE during the day. Then we would look to profit on 1/2 shares over and over, day after day until we get the red weekly signal on the opposite trade that could turn into bigger profits. The stop would be if it goes negative for the day. The rule of keeping a stop if it goes negative for the day is a must. Lastly for this type of trading we need to not be afraid to get back in if it goes positive once again. Sometimes market makers will take an ETF negative and then reverse it right higher again because they know if it goes negative many exit. So we have to be willing to risk a few in and outs when it does this up and down move around that potential stop out area so we don’t miss the ride back up. That’s just part of trading and not a big deal. But no matter what, if it breaks to yet another lower low because you didn’t get out after giving it a little more wiggle room, you are more than likely further from the original stop out when it went negative and you are out, waiting for it to go positive again before you get back in. You are simply buying into strength.

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

 

 
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