ETF Trading Research 5/29/2018

Today’s Trades and Current Positions (highlighted in yellow):

Out side of the two in the dog corner, BRZU and DGAZ, we are positioned well for the next run higher. We got a little sidetracked with the Italy issue that helped the dollar and thus hurt gold. But our buys of last 1/2 shares in LABU, SOXL and TQQQ we averaged our price in the well. DGAZ did have a nice comeback today. While we took profit of 2.86% on GUSH, we got in again and down a hair and really liking oil here for a run higher with the market. UWT and DWT are 3 days in the Cold Corner and should get a bounce tomorrow and same with BRZU having spent 4 days in the Cold Corner. I do think it is in buy the dip mode now. In fact, all the ones below are in buy the dip mode.  Keep the faith. While I personally was not able to take profit today by sending a check home, I plan to this week, and much larger than normal because I earned it with the risks being taken. I hope it is the same for all of you. Holding to 2750 in /ES for most everything should play out well too.

 

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

 

ADP Nonfarm Employment and GDP tomorrow.

 

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
Still in the stocks up into the summer camp and we are positioned for it now. Once we get higher up into profit though, and near resistance levels, I may want to lock in that profit. /es hit a higher high in futures after hours to 2692. Like seeing that.
GBTC got to 11.91 and bounced end of day with the market to 12.13.
FAS got hit especially hard triggering a green weekly in FAZ. But on an Italian news day, I don’t trust the signals. Futures even higher now to 2693.
Foreign Markets
Will have to wait out BRZU and YINN.
Interest Rates
TMF up 6.35% today. Might have gone too far too fast and need a breather. Be interesting to see how markets react. Lower rates saved the market from falling even more today, as well as the bounce in oil.
Energy
UWT and GUSH 3 days in cold corner and we should get a bigger bounce than I was thinking yesterday in oil now. Oil to the 76 area is a real possibility for those who can weather the ups and downs.
Nat Gas took off today. Was nice to see. Break of 2.75 and we can head to under 2.60. If we don’t break that level, then a bounce higher is coming and temporary losses in DGAZ before the bigger move down this summer.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
Any move lower in gold or silver now I am calling NUGT and UGLD. We’ll see if it is necessary or a hedge for JNUG and USLV is needed. 
Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and show a trend has developed. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend each day and take profit while using a trailing stops. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. This will be tracked more when we automate the service.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit!

Wait for the sign of a positive day to go long anything beaten down, I think the odds swing to your favor.

New way to trade beaten down ETFs; The way that trade would work, and I really think it should be a rule from now on NOT to trade anything trending down until it reverses, is we would buy at the open if it is POSITIVE or GOES POSITIVE during the day. Then we would look to profit on 1/2 shares over and over, day after day until we get the red weekly signal on the opposite trade that could turn into bigger profits. The stop would be if it goes negative for the day. The rule of keeping a stop if it goes negative for the day is a must. Lastly for this type of trading we need to not be afraid to get back in if it goes positive once again. Sometimes market makers will take an ETF negative and then reverse it right higher again because they know if it goes negative many exit. So we have to be willing to risk a few in and outs when it does this up and down move around that potential stop out area so we don’t miss the ride back up. That’s just part of trading and not a big deal. But no matter what, if it breaks to yet another lower low because you didn’t get out after giving it a little more wiggle room, you are more than likely further from the original stop out when it went negative and you are out, waiting for it to go positive again before you get back in. You are simply buying into strength.

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

 

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