ETF Trading Research 6/05/2018

It’s my daughter’s 19th birthday today. Her last year as a teenager. This year she was Prom Queen and Valedictorian, and has almost a full scholarship to Boston College. Very proud of her! She is the one on the right.

 

What I’m not proud of is my timing on some of the ETFs and my resistance to keeping a stop when I should be. Or hedging the other side.

What I do like is a new subscriber starting on Monday who today told me they made $1,000 trading. So at least I am vocally getting some trades in while I suffer through some bad decisions.

I do want to maybe take some profit in the morning on our long the market ETFs. Just want to get a little more is all.

Metals and miners I still love. Buying the dip still is the call for day traders.

Oil I like but tonight’s data was negative oil. What does UWT do? Go higher. Tomorrow’s data important.

DGAZ 2 days on hot list so due for a small pullback probably tomorrow before bouncing higher (nat gas lower).

GBTC looks great! Will always be volatile and I won’t get too greedy on half shares.

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

 

 

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
Only slightly higher in /ES today. Need to bust through tomorrow and look at taking some profit. Hopefully in the morning.
No new green weekly or red weekly’s today. I suspect DGLD and JDST will change soon though.
Foreign Markets
BRZU literally hammered here but also at support on a longer term chart. Do or die time for it. Looking for a bounce but it could get ugly too and I will put on BZQ hedge, which maybe should have done yesterday to lessen the downside risk till we have more upside confirmation. Might look to YINN on any pullback and RUSL should move up with oil assuming oil keeps moving higher.
Interest Rates
TMF and TMV trading places. No interest.
Energy
Liked seeing UWT go up and DGAZ too today. DGAZ due for a pullback. GUSH didn’t enjoy the move up like oil did but it was positive most of the day. It can be whipped around more than UWT.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
Liked the dollar falling today and we still need JNUG over 14.40 and USLV 10.25 for the bigger run. Keep buying the dips day traders.
Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and show a trend has developed. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend each day and take profit while using a trailing stops. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. This will be tracked more when we automate the service.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit!

Wait for the sign of a positive day to go long anything beaten down, I think the odds swing to your favor.

New way to trade beaten down ETFs; The way that trade would work, and I really think it should be a rule from now on NOT to trade anything trending down until it reverses, is we would buy at the open if it is POSITIVE or GOES POSITIVE during the day. Then we would look to profit on 1/2 shares over and over, day after day until we get the red weekly signal on the opposite trade that could turn into bigger profits. The stop would be if it goes negative for the day. The rule of keeping a stop if it goes negative for the day is a must. Lastly for this type of trading we need to not be afraid to get back in if it goes positive once again. Sometimes market makers will take an ETF negative and then reverse it right higher again because they know if it goes negative many exit. So we have to be willing to risk a few in and outs when it does this up and down move around that potential stop out area so we don’t miss the ride back up. That’s just part of trading and not a big deal. But no matter what, if it breaks to yet another lower low because you didn’t get out after giving it a little more wiggle room, you are more than likely further from the original stop out when it went negative and you are out, waiting for it to go positive again before you get back in. You are simply buying into strength.

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

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