ETF Trading Research 9/18/2018

I am still trying to become more robotic with my calls and from time to time you’ll see me mention them, but not make the calls official. With the new system I am forcing myself to make the calls to buy and so from this point forward, if I just mention them, like DGAZ going red on the weekly today where we could have got 3% from UGAZ, or BRZU and RUSL yesterday, which we traded BRZU but too tight a stop and should have bought RUSL which both were up nicely today. That’s where I want to take us with trades. No hesitation but buy and trust the system.

We did get some trades in with a decent scalp in TVIX and DUST which I think can still run to 43. LABD was stopped out but bought back at our stop out price and any breakdown in the markets it can take off.  You’ll also notice my stops are extremely tight on anything that is NOT a part of the red weekly opposite or green weekly.

I

Economic Data For Tomorrow 

Tomorrow we have Building Permits and Draghi and then Crude Oil Inventories as the big ones.

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Stock Market 
Glad we got out of TVIX at end of trading yesterday and used the “bird in the hand” approach to pocketing 4.97% and 2.21% on the 1/2 share sells.
Foreign Markets
RUSL and BRZU had good moves today. Should have been in them as I said above and from now on will be.
Interest Rates
TMV green on the monthly now as we move over 3% on the 10 year. Time to possibly look the other way soon.
Energy
We can confirm that DGAZ did top out as today it went red on the weekly. The closer we get to 2.95 the more we should start looking the other way though. Pretty big move today. More than normal. If I wasn’t using leverage I would definitely start cost averaging the other way.
OIl shot higher today with Saudi chatter and the data after hours was bullish as well. Can still take us higher in oil with good data tomorrow. However, the first sign of weakness in oil, DWT and DRIP will take off.
Precious Metals and Mining Stocks
Dollar bounced off the lows today and gold/silver were weak all day, but miners were mixed. JDST ended up positive but DUST negative. We bought that last dip in DUST and I think get rewarded tomorrow. Dollar should move to 95 again and we’ll see where we are with taking profit as an aggresswive, non-system trade.
Green Weekly’s

These are the ETFs that have turned green on the weekly and show a trend has developed. Your best way to profit with the service is stick with the green weekly trend each day and take profit while using a trailing stops. Also, if these green ETFs are up for the day at the open, they offer the best scalping opportunities. I am always fine tuning this section so if there is confusion at all, email me and be specific and I’ll be happy address.

I know I have said this many times but it is worth repeating; If you stick with the green weekly trades your odds of profit increase as there is more risk with the day trades. I call the day trades with the intent of catching some runners, so will get a few 1% stop outs but eventually catch the 5% to 10% or more runners.  The important part of the list below is that the longer the ETF stays on the list the more likely it is to turn red on the weekly and the opposite ETF comes into play as a long. This will be tracked more when we automate the service.

Sell half shares on a spike up on any ETF you are long, even if goal is higher. Spikes higher are almost always followed by moves in the opposite direction. Try and get out with a market order quickly before the quick move back lower. Lock in that profit!

Wait for the sign of a positive day to go long anything beaten down, I think the odds swing to your favor.

New way to trade beaten down ETFs; The way that trade would work, and I really think it should be a rule from now on NOT to trade anything trending down until it reverses, is we would buy at the open if it is POSITIVE or GOES POSITIVE during the day. Then we would look to profit on 1/2 shares over and over, day after day until we get the red weekly signal on the opposite trade that could turn into bigger profits. The stop would be if it goes negative for the day. The rule of keeping a stop if it goes negative for the day is a must. Lastly for this type of trading we need to not be afraid to get back in if it goes positive once again. Sometimes market makers will take an ETF negative and then reverse it right higher again because they know if it goes negative many exit. So we have to be willing to risk a few in and outs when it does this up and down move around that potential stop out area so we don’t miss the ride back up. That’s just part of trading and not a big deal. But no matter what, if it breaks to yet another lower low because you didn’t get out after giving it a little more wiggle room, you are more than likely further from the original stop out when it went negative and you are out, waiting for it to go positive again before you get back in. You are simply buying into strength.

For those of you new here, I most of the time have the ETF Trading Research report out by 8PM PDT, and it comes by an RSS feed, but you can look at the report here sometimes before you get it in your mailbox; https://illusionsofwealth.com/category/etf-blogs/  This is also the same link if there are any technical difficulties.

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